YORK 3.35 - MARGOT DID CAN ATONE

The 3.35 from York on Thursday does look to offer up very good value for punters. Exceed And Excel filly Margot Did holds an entry for the G1 Golden Jubilee and last season finished 2nd 3 starts on end in G2 & G3 company beaten each time by Memory, Sooraya and Hooray, that form has been franked over and over again since. 1st up this season she got too far back and flashed big closing pars when 3rd to Perfect Tribute who since has won at Group 3 level, form franked again. The drop back to 5f here is interesting but she has a true speed pedigree and the fact that she is dropping back to 5f here makes us think she may race closer to the pace.

On bare form she looks to have the measure of the early odds-on favorite Night Carnation and as 2nd favorite in this market at 3.70 Margot Did shapes as good betting value in the win market. Big money is around for her and that price is expected to firm.

Get on early as anything above 3.00 is good value about this proven Group quality sprinting speed filly.

So the bet is......

York 3.35 No6 Margot Did - 2 units win at 3.70.

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YORK 3.00 - POTENTIAL BIG RESULT LOOMS

The 3.00 from York on Thursday offers up extremely good value for punters. We have identified 3 here at good double figure odds that can be backed for a result across the race.

No8 CRYSTAL GAL was 7th in the Irish 1000 Guineas last season (strong renewal), hasnt been at its best since but it carries the best nick in racing by Galileo out of a Danehill mare, if it hits that form here 2nd up it has claims trading at 26.00 on Betfair.

No4 BALDUCCI knocked off Al Farahidi last season over 8f at Haydock which is a strong form ref for this and prior ran 2nd to the overly smart Oasis Dancer, those form refs give it big claims here, adaptable racing style so alley no major query, trading at 14.00 it can also be backed in the win market.

No6 CAPITAL ATTRACTION was pulled up having its 1st start this season but the astute yard of Henry Cecil pushes on in strong company here and the yard is in form currently, their opinion has to be respected, drawn the inside gate it is bred to be a Group horse and has shown signs of same in its short career, good scope for more, trading at 50.00 on Betfair it also has to be included in betting.

So we will back 3 here for a result across the race, the betting advice is as follows......

York 3.00 No4 Balducci - 2 units win @ 14.00
York 3.00 No8 Crystal Gal - 1 unit win @ 26.00
York 3.00 No6 Capital Attraction - 1 unit win @ 50.00

We will also be attacking one of these for the PLACE for Fifty50Share punters but that info is kept close to our chest so as not to destroy the value.

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SALISBURY 2.10 - ISTISHAARA GREAT VALUE EACH WAY

The 2.10 from Salisbury on Thursday shapes as a perfect opportunity for the superbly bred ISTASHAARA to get off to a winning start for its 3yo season. The Kingmambo filly was overly impressive holding sway over Devastation at the end of its 2yo year over 8f at Nottingham on good to slow going. Devastation came out and franked the form next start winning in decent style and the other margins further back in that win of Istashaara's also adds good depth to the form.

The depth of this race is not great for the class and is should be able to handle the top weight allocation here. The yard is in good form with 10 of John Dunlops last 11 runners improving or atleast holding their last start level at their most recent start.

The one concern is the drift in price from 6.00 out to 9.60 in the early betting exchange action but we are prepared to take that risk at the good value price.

Currently on offer at 9.60 and 4.20 in the place market (only 2 place dividends) Istashaara shapes as a good value betting commodity that can be backed with mild confidence each way.

So the bet is....

Salisbury 2.10 No1 Istashaara - 1 unit win, 2 units place

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YORK 2.00 - MIDDAY SET FOR WINNING RETURN IN G2 MIDDLETON

Midday has her 1st start of the season in the G2 Midddleton Stakes on Thursday and shapes as very well placed, last season she also resumed in this race and was 2nd to another very high class G1 quality female in the form of Sariska, after that she reeled off 3 G1 wins on end including the Yorkshire Oaks. There is no Sariska in this field she faces this year despite being a bigger field than last year and the Henry Cecil yard is in tip top form over the last 14 days (not taking into account yesterdays 2 below par results at this meeting). Despite the G1 penalty and having to give weight to all of her rivals she does look extremely hard to beat here. Currently on offer at 2.30 she shapes as good value. We have her rated a 2.20 chance so minor overs are on offer.

Get on Midday as a great way to start off the 2nd day of the York meeting in the 2.00

So the bet is.....

York 2.00 No1 Midday - 4 unit win bet @ 2.30.

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YORK 3.35 - YET ANOTHER GOOD VALUE BETTING AFFAIR

Another big field here for the 3.35 at York on Wednesday and it shapes as another good value betting affair. We have identified 2 horses here that both have serious claims and are likely to provide FTHM punters with another winning collect.

No4 DOCTOR SHIVAGO has been definitely under-estimated by the betting public here available at 20.00 on the exchanges in early betting. By Shamardal out of a Sadler's Wells mare it showed last start it was getting back to a decent level when chasing home Cono Zur at Beverley and is likely to improve considerably on that performance being upped to 12f here, last season at Newbury in the middle of May he finished 3rd to Green Moon and Monterosso btn a big margin of 7.5l but held sway over other smart types and a repeat of that form here will see it shake the life out of this race at good double figure odds. The other one that requires serious consideration is No6 SATWA MOON and the betting public do seem to agree having posted it as a 7.00 favorite in early exchange markets. He is by the under-rated Champion South African horse Horse Chestnut from a decent American female family, he has big scope for further improvement on its first up effort and if we go on the 3rd to Indian Days over 10f at Goodwood last season it seems very much well in here, no reason it cant hit that level again drawn well in the 7 alley. Back both in the win market for a result across the race.

So the betting is.....

York 3.35 No4 Doctor Shivago - 1 unit win @ 20.00
York 3.35 No6 Satwa Moon - 2 units win @ 7.00

Doctor Shivago is also worthwhile playing in the PLACE BETTING market as a semi solid betting proposition.

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YORK 2.00 - SHROPSHIRE SUPER HARD TO BEAT

The 2.00 at York on Wednesday marks an excellent opportunity to go after a high quality betting commodity in the form of the lightly race Shamardal colt Shropshire.

He is 2nd up from a spell here on the back of running a very credible 3rd to Frankel last start despite being beaten 10l, his debut win last season over 6f at Haydock by 4l on good to soft going maarked him a potential blacktype horse and that 1st up effort behind Frankel confirmed that thought.

Currently on offer at 2.90 on the exchanges he does look good value as a high quality win bet. Realistically anything better than 2.50 is good value here. We expect it to firm slightly in price from its current quote so it may well be worthwhile getting on early whilst the value exists.

So the bet is......

York 2.00 No1 Shropshire - 4 unit win bet @ 2.90

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York 1.30 On Wednesday Full Of Value To Kick Off Dante Meeting

The York Dante festival / meeting kicks off on Wednesday for UK horse racing followers and FromTheHorsesMouth followers and the first race on the card (1.30 Infinity Tyres Stakes) shapes as a good value betting affair with a big field of 20 engaged. Our analysts have found enough depth in the market to back 4 runners here for a result across the race.

York 1.30 - Very open affair with 20 runners engaged, hard to line them up with big confidence but the value on offer about the ones we like here makes it a potential good betting affair, realistically it will take a horse of potential Group quality to win here, likely trips also become paramount with such a big field engaged. We will back a few here for a result across the race. No18 CALDERCRUIX shapes as being well placed here and gets in very well weighted vs most of the other seen major chances, off the boil towards the 2nd half of last season but its effort running 2nd to Monterosso at Newmarket over 10f reads well, a repeat of that form will see it shake this at a big price, being bet at 40.00 on the exchanges early, great value, No1 RESURGE has a big weight to carry but looked to have hit a new peak 1st up last start when 2nd to Spanish Duke btn 1l at Epsom with good margins further back adding considerable depth to the form, being bet at 30.00 early it has to be included. No10 DIESCENTRIC has only faced the starter twice and won on debut over 8f at Newmarket last season and must be respected on that form reference, it has scope to improve considerably being so lightly raced and the yard is in very good form, currently being bet at 10.00 it is worth minor support, No20 PEKAN STAR has a shocking gate but gets in very well weighted as a lightly tried son of Montjeu for the astute Roger Varian yard who is placing his horses to perfection early in the season, at 7.80 on the exchanges we must save on it.

No18 CALDERCRUIX - 1 unit win @ 40.00
No1 RESURGE - 1 unit @ 30.00
No10 DIESCENTRIC - 2 units @ 10.00
No20 PEKAN STAR - 2 units @ 7.80

Both Caldercruix and Resurge can be backed in the PLACE market at very good odds for place punters as well.

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ASCOT 3.25 - TAKE THE LEAD, HILLS STAYS ON SHAMANDAR

The Victoria Cup at Ascot (3.25) on Saturday shapes as yet another very good each way betting affair, our top pick SHAMANDAR has been off the scene since finishing 5th in the G1 Cheveley Park Stakes in 2009 behind Special Duty on the back of winning its 2 previous starts including the Watership Downs Stud Sales Race 123K 1st purse and the Listed Dick Poole Fillies Stakes.

Those 2 bits of form are clearly the strongest form references available here suggesting she is clearly a decent blacktype performer when right and the fact that William Haggas has persisted with her into her 4yo year after missing her 3yo season in full adds confidence. Another lead is taken by the fact that Michael Hills stays on and he rode this horse during most of its peak form as a 2yo and William Haggas' last winner on April 30 this year (a week ago) was the last ride that Michael Hills had for this trainer.

Her form is peak, connection reading are right, if she is anywhere near her best she will shake this at a big double figure price of 27.00 currently being offered on Betfair.

So the bet is.......

Ascot 3.25 No6 Shamandar - 1 unit win bet @ 27.00, 2 unit place (4 place dividends) @ 6.00 all on Betfair.

We have already nailed Perfect Tribute in the 2.10 at Lingfield as previously advised at 14.00 and better on Betfair and there is no reason the double figure odds winners wont continue here.

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ASCOT 2.50 - GOOD VALUE & GOOD CONFIDENCE BETTING AFFAIR

The 2.50 at Ascot on Saturday is shaping up as a very good value betting affair going on early priced being bet on Betfair, the 2 we like being OCEANWAY (trading at 12.50) and CELEBRITY (trading at 20.00) looks set to fight the race out and provide a strong profit for punters following our advice at www.fromthehorsesmouth.com.au

OCEANWAY is very well bred by Street Cry out of the AP Indy mare Sea Gift who won her only start at Redcar defeating a couple of subsequent black type performers and she is a half sister to the very smart Biocoastal, Oceanway looked well above average streeting her rivals at Kempton over 7f by 8l at the end of her 2yo year, 1st up this season she was down the track behind Dubawi Gold when in the market as an 11/2 chance taking on Listed company, that run can be overlooked, she is likelyto get one of the runs of the race and subsequently first run on them in the stretch, it may prove the decisive winning factor.

CELEBRITY is also well placed and very well bred by Pivotal out of the Sadler's Wells mare Dance Solo who has produced the smart Diam Queen already (by Lando) and is a half sister to the very high class Excellent Art (also by Pivotal) suggesting the sire Pivotal nicks very well to this female family. That can be taken on trust going on the way Celebrity broke her maiden at Newbury over 6f having her 2nd career start as a 2yo last season. She showed a sharp turn of foot that day to quickly put the issue beyond doubt 1f from home, strong on the line suggesting she has scope for more, her pedigree suggests the same being out of a Sadler's Wells mare as previously noted.

So the bets are....

Ascot 2.50 No11 Oceanway 2 units win at 12.50 and No13 Celebrity 2 units win at 20.00

For PLACE punters Celebrity is probably the way to go on offer at 6.00 in the place betting market.

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HAYDOCK 2.30 - HARD SPUN'S 1ST UK RUNNER SET TO WIN

The 1st of the Hard Spun progeny are set to make their UK debut here in the form of the $300K USD yearling MABROOR, he is a half brother to 2 good sprint winners in the USA and her dam is by speed influence sire Exploit and she won twice as a 3yo in the USA and she also is a half sister to 4 stakes winners including a 6f G2 winner. The stable hit form with their 2yos earlier this week and this one has drifted slightly in the market out to a bettable price of 6.00 due to support for the averagely bred Ballesteros which has come about purely becuase of the death of Seve Ballesteros in Spain today. We expect Mabroor to tighten back in.

So the bet is.......

Haydock 2.30 No9 Mabroor - 1 unit win bet at minimum price 5.40.

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