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04/29/2011

Vivid Vixen Too Short, Caulfield R6, Value Elsewhere

Race 6 at Caulfield sees Vivid Vixen absolutely stifling the betting at the short odds of 2.10, we feel it is unders and worth specking others to beat it who have realistic claims at good odds.

Here is what our analysts have to say about the two seen value elects.

Caulfield R6 No10 Boom 'N' Zoom - the short priced favorite Vivid Vixen stifles the betting market here at the prohibitive quote of 2.10 in early fixed odds markets, there is value in working around it to back this one to beat it, 5l trial win at Cranbourne over 1190m prior to 1st up effort reads well suggesting it may be set for a new peak this prep, shapes that way 1st up when chasing home Flat Chat and Testa My Patience over 1600m, made up clearly the most ground and is screaming out for this trip and maybe even 2000m now, big scope for more off that run and looks well placed through those 2 horses, hinted at above average staying ability end of 2 preps ago close 3rd to Apprehend, enough depth in the form to warrants minor backing at 12.00+ in the win market.

Caulfield R6 No1 Buccellati - as stated above Vivid Vixen too short, this one is also worth specking as 2nd elect at 8.00+ in the win betting market, its UK form prior to coming to Australia puts it well up to winning a race of this nature, 2 runs so far this prep not disgraceful btn 4.6l by Launay and 4l by Testa My Patience, potential improver 3rd up, has the class, only minor specking warranted.

So the bets are.....

Caulfield R6 No10 Boom 'N' Zoom - 1 units win, No1 Buccellati - 0.5 units win.

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