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04/29/2011

Seymour Race 1 On Saturday, Put In Take Out Scenario

Race 1 at Seymour in Victoria on Saturday (Victorian secondary meeting) shapes as what our analysts call a "put in take out race". The top elect Who's Bad looks well above average and the only seen real danger Offertory is at big enough odds to speck just incase the top elects doesnt fire, both get the best trips in the race.

Here is what our analysts have to say about their respective chances.

Seymour R1 No13 Who's Bad - ticks just about every box possible here, Freedman trained, very well bred, very well drawn under the pace scenario to secure the run of the race stalking the other seen chance Offertory who looks the potential leader to us, big effort 1st up drawing away with Fort Chauvel for a ding duel down the stretch btn 1.5l shifted about when fitness gave away final 50m, better for the run and likely to improve again, put a big 5l margin back to 3rd that day, clearly the strongest form ref in the race, we have it rated clearly on top at 2.50, back with big confidence if that price is bet.

Seymour R1 No8 Offertory - deceivingly well bred for speed by Keep The Faith out of the former stakes performed race mare Venus Was Her Name, 2 trials in prep for this nothing to write home about but trial prior to debut prep has big hidden merit associated to it, likely leader here without having to do too much work, warrants specking if the prepost price of 30/1 is anything to go buy, if something can beat Who's Bad well this may be it at big odds, specking only.

So the bets are.......

Seymour R1 No13 Who's Bad - 7 units win, No8 Offertory 1 unit win

If by chance Offertory is offered up at 4.00+ for the place it then becomes a very big value PLACE BET of mild confidence.

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