Dubai Affair Good Value vs Confidence In The 4.40 At Bath

A small field of 6 sprinters greets the judge for the 4.40 at Bath after the 2 scratchings, the overall betting market is still pretty open with no outright pronounced favorite dominating, good value exists. We like the chances of the Dubawi 3yo filly Dubai Affair who is 1st up here for its 3yo season.

This is what our analysts have to say about her chances.

Bath 4.40 No6 Dubai Affair - hard to go past the chances of the deceivingly well bred Dubai Affair here who comes into this having its 1st start of its 3yo season, by Dubawi out of a good producing Pursuit Of Love mare who has already got Listed winner Queens Grace and 9 time sprint winner April Fool from 3 other foals to race, penny dropped 5 back when a good merit 5l 5th to Major conquest over 6f at Salisbury in 2yo C2 company, beaten home by 4 above average types and held sway over other since well performed types further back suggesting the depth of form out of that race is strong considering what Dubai Affair faces here, franked that good 5th next start when 3rd to Foghorn Leghorn, forced to do a lot of work early that day after missing the start then pushing forward to lead after 1f, only btn 1.7l, broke through at Kempton in a weak class 6 2nd last start before being put away for the winter, knows how to win how and sure to have improved over the break, if it can repeat the effort when 5th to Major Conquest then it should be winning here. Currently trades at 6.40 on Betfair and expected to tighten slightly closer to post time, we have it top pick rated as a 4.00 chance.

So the bet is.....

Bath 4.40 No6 Dubai Affair - 3 unit win bet, 5 unit place bet (currently offered at 2.00 for the place in a market paying 3 place dividends despite scratchings, very much a high quality Fifty50Share place bet)

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