Monday Australian Racing Previews For Wagga
Betting - No1 Arty's Noverre (2 units win), No13 Leica Forward (1 unit win)
Wagga R2 - The very astute Brett Cavanough yard has the well bred Fastnet Rock 3yo RAB engaged here 1st up from a spell. He won on this track on debut last preperation and then went to Caulfield and finished 5th btn 2.1l behind The Handsome One in a strongish $70K Open 3yo race over 1200m. A repeat of that effort here in average Open 3yo $9K company will surely see him very hard to hold out. Drawn well in the 3 alley he should settle back in midfield or worse and only need luck in the tsretch run to finish hard over the top of them. Dangers look to be Worpali and Gentleman Jim but both of those are well below the potential level RAB can reach here.
Betting - No6 Rab (3.5 units win)
Wagga R4 - Another very weak maiden affair greets us here, the race has been robbed of one of its main chances in the form of Coliseo which is scratched. This really leaves the race at the mercy of GIVEMTHESLIP. The 3yo son of Royal Academy (out of a Thunder Gulch mare) comes into this having its 4th career start on the back of finishing 2nd at Goulburn last start over 1300mbtn 1.5l by the smart Savabeel 3yo filly from the Gai Waterhouse yard Avec Mon Ami. It sat outside the winner that day on the front end and battled on well to easily hold sway over the balance of the 14 horse field (stronger maiden) proving clearly best of the rest. It is well drawn here to get a fairly soft trip on the front end and should prove too good for this lot. Very hard to see it getting beat.
Betting - No4 Givemtheslip (5 units win)
Wagga R5 - This shapes as a good betting race with plenty of seen chances capable of winning in this grade. Barriers will play a vitally important part and some of the major hopes look likely to cop tough trips. We will back 2 horses for a result across the race here. On top we like the Nuclear Freeze 4yo LORENZINO who is 2nd up from a spell trying to make it 2 on end after winning at the Sapphire Coast last start by 1.3l, the form refs out of that race suggest it gets in well weighted here vs the likes of Ain't In Magic and a few of the other seen major chances. It is drawn well in the 3 alley and should get to the front or a prominent on pace position without working too hard early. Being fairly lightly raced it has further scope for improvement on that 1st up win. The other one of interest for us is the well weighted Dash For Cash mare FASTEST DASH who is drawn the 1 alley and has the services of leading hoop B Ward. It's last start 3rd reads well and if the pace is on then it will be the one getting home over the top of them at a good price. Back both for a result across the race.
Betting - No2 Lorenzino (2 units win), No13 Fastest Dash (1 unit win)
Wagga R6 - Shapes as a race with 2 major chances. The deceivingly well bred type DAUMET is the one we have on top here. This 3yo gelding carries the very successful Danehill / Dehere cross in its breeding being by Conatus out of the Dehere mare Chantilly Babe and comes into this on the back of a wide margin last start win when breaking its maiden at Narrandera over 1400m. That day it employed different riding tactics sitting up on the pace 3 wide with no cover then showed a sharp turn of foot widening the margin to the line when asked to score by 3.5l. Last prep it was only btn approx 2l on a few occasions in much stronger maidens at Kembla Grange on the provincial circuit. Despite being drawn wide here it should be able to cross without working too hard early and take up a good position on pace under an even tempo. It gets in very well weighted with only 51kg after the claim for smart young apprentice Darcy Matthews. The major danger looks to be Merci Grand but it has to give away 6kgs to Daumet which is a bit of a stretch and hard to see it overcoming despite the engagement of B Ward to steer.
Betting - No10 Daumet (2.5 units win)
Wagga R7 - Shapes as an overly weak race for the class and a perfect opportunity for last start big odds winner JARRACONI to make it 2 on end. The decently bred Bianconi 5yo annexed a 1400m C1 $9K race at Narrandera last start at odds of 25/1 by 1.3l. That day new riding tactics were employed which saw it dictate the pace on the front end and then hold sway in deep stretch defeating a decent quality field suggesting it gets in well weighted here with every hope with only 54kgs on its back and B Vale booked to secure another soft trip from the 3 alley.
Betting - No15 Jarraconi (1 unit win)
Wagga R9 - A large field to finish off the card
at Wagga looks likely to present plenty of good value. We are
backing 2 runners here for a result across the race. On top we
like the Barbara Joseph trained and very well bred type JUNINHO
who is by Giant's Causeway out of the 5 time winning Danehill
mare Danesty who is a full sister to G1 Brisbane Cup winner
Danestorm. Comes into this 3rd up from a spell and form so far
both runs this prep has been below the expected level by 2-3l,
capable of better and a repeat of maiden win last prep at
Canberra over 1200m will make it very hard to beat here. Drawn
perfectly in the 1 alley to secure one of the runs of the race
tracking the leaders. The other one of interest from a value
perspective is BIANCALAURA. The 4yo mare by Belong To Me is 1st
up here and 1st up last prep was a wide margin winner at
Canberra over 1000m in slow going. She is more than just a wet
tracker and on a repeat of that win has serious claims here with
57.5kg on her back and B Ward booked to steer from the 6 alley.
There will be enough depth in the prices of these 2 to back them
both for a winning result. The other major danger is Stellesprit
and it along with Youre On can be included in your exotics with
the top 2 we have identified above.
Betting - No18 Juninho (2 units win), No9 Biancalaura (1.5
units win)
Biggest Certainty Bet - Wagga R4 No4 Givemtheslip
Best Value Bet - Wagga R6 No10 Daumet
All Up Value Place Bet - Wagga R5 No2 Lorenzino into Wagga R9
No18 Juninho
Best Exotic Bet - Wagga R9 Quinella - No18 with Nos1,8,9
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