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06/21/2010

Last Start Wide Margin Winner Dane Cottage Seeks A Double

One of the lowest quality fields anywhere on Monday has to be that of the 4.15 at Lingfield. This race is full of exposed types that have all had their fair chance of reaching the limelight except for one of them being the lightly raced wide margin last start winner Dane Cottage who seeks to make it 2 wins on end here.

The 3yo Beat Hollow filly last start looked highly impressive last start beating up on a 3yo seller field at Leicester scoring by a widening 11l when different riding tactics were employed by connections. The bare form through the winning margin suggests she improved on her previous form in leaps and bounds and that is backed up by the time she ran (only 0.43s below standard). Since t5hen she has been raised 6lbs in the handicap but that is offset here by the 7lb claim for Adam Beschizza who this season has a 12% strike rate in turf races.

Dane Cottage being lightly raced should hold that new level now and easily account for her foes here in what as earlier stated in realistically a weak race. Orsett Lad & Mr Maximus look the only 2 capable of troubling her but they both need to produce career best efforts to do so.

Dane Cottage should make it 2 wins on end here and at the 3.20 being bet on the exchanges currently represents good value. We have her marked up as a 2.50 chance in this field.

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