Feature Race Previews For Saturday At Randwick

Champagne Stakes Offers Up Good Value

The 3rd leg of the 2yo triple crown takes place on Saturday being the G1 Champagne Stakes over 1600m and it offers up very good value for punters.

Our market assessment is listed to the left (in the graphic) and we have outlined 6 chances in the race with good value to be had about 5 of them for a result across the race.

The major contender looks to be the well related Redoute's Choice colt Benetau who missed the 2nd leg of the triple crown in preference for this race after finishing a luckless 5th in the Golden Slipper. He was also unlucky in the Blue Diamond when 3rd to Star Witness after getting shuffled back midrace then forced very wide on the turn before flashing good closing pars close home. The overall depth of this field is clearly below G1 quality and he looks suited to the 1600m trip the way he has been finishing his races off. We have him top rated as a 4.74 chance, currently slightly better odds is on offer with Betfair of 5.20.

Sasa is the 2nd elect and one of 4 Encosta De Lago line horses in our top 6 rated runners, she looked well above average breaking her maiden 2 starts ago at Hawkesbury over 1300m by 5.8l in a race where the 2nd and 3rd horses home have since come out and franked the form winning in their next 2 starts. She is unders currently as we have her assessed as a 5.68 chance and is offered up at only 5.40 on Betfair.

The 3rd elect is Chula Vista who looked very impressive winning by 3.5l on debut at Canterbury 2 starts ago, she has major scope for further improvement. Assessed as a 9.47 chance by our analysts she offers up sensational value at 41.00 with bookmakers currently.

Yosei who won the G1 Sires' Produce last start is the 4th elect assessed at 10.94, currently slightly better odds is offered about her chances at 12.00 on Betfair currently.

The 5th elect in our assessment is another Encosta De Lago youngster in the form of Fashion, she is out of the Blue Diamond winner True Jewels and is still a maiden but is likely to produce a new career peak here after making strong headway to finish 2nd to Skilled last start producing the best closing pars that day on an unsuitable wet track. We have here assessed an an 11.84 chance is currently offered up at 20.00 on Betfair, good overs.

The blowout horse and 6th elect the warrants specking is another Encosta De Lago youngster in the form of Bombay, this one is superbly related on the female side of her family being out of the Danehill mare Sarasota who is a full sister to the hottest young sire in the country in the form of Fastnet Rock, both are from the impressive stakes winning mare and producer by Royal Academy Picadilly Circus, very much an emerging female line in the Australian Stud book, Bombay is 2nd up here and totally suited to the 1600m trip the way she finished off behind Miss Shiraz last start but the run to take note of is her win last prep over 1100m at Canterbury defeating Extremis, she hit the line very hard that day in a leader dominated affair where Cuddles For Nara finished 3rd btn 2.8l and then was only btn 4.2l by Star Witness next start, a very good form ref for this considering the big scope Bombay has trying 1600m for the 1st time. We have her assessed as a 14.21 chance and she is currently available at better than 100/1 on Betfair and at 100/1 with bookmakers, massive overs.

Follow our win betting advice as per the graphic to the top of this story. Good value is to be had with a definite collect likely by following it.

For place punters have something on Chula Vista and Bombay who are both very big overs.

Exotic players should use these 6 runners boxed for the First 4 and Trifecta punters should do the same boxing up these top 6 runners.

Kiwis Have A Stranglehold On The Queen Elizabeth Stakes

The 2nd of the G1 features at Randwick on Saturday is the Queen Elizabeth Stakes over 2000m and the Kiwi import runners look to have a stranglehold on the race.

Our top rated elect here is Vosne Romanee who is unfashionably bred by Electric Zone, very much an under-rated sire who itself is by the high class Northern Hemisphere proven sire of sires in the form of Rahy. Vosne Romanee is a triple G1 winner in New Zealand including a win over Red Ruler by 2.3l over 2000m at Ellerslie at the end of last prep. Red Ruler came out and won its next 3 on end and Culminate and Veloce Bella who both finished well back both came and won stakes races quickly after. Vosne Romanee repeated the dose 2nd up this prep winning the G1 New Zealand Stakes over 2000m at Ellerslie with Harris Tweed 2nd that day and Red Ruler back in 4th. He clearly is the most proven 2000m G1 horse in this field. We have him assessed as a 2.71 chance here and is offered up at 13.00 on Betfair and with bookmakers, very big overs.

The 2nd elect for us is Monaco Consul who last prep won the Spring Champion Stakes followed up by the Victorian Derby, he looked to be doing his best work close home when a luckless 3rd to Shoot Out last start in the AJC Derby and that race will eventually prove to be a good form race with a big margin between 4th and 4th suggesting the first 4 home are potentially all well above average stayers on the make. We have him assessed as a 4.07 chance and currently 7.40 is being bet about him on Betfair, good overs.

Our 3rd elect and 4th elect in this race are Doctor Fremantle and Rangirangdoo and both are unders for us compared to their true chances.

We suggest backing both Vosne Romanee and Monaco Consul to win the race as per the suggested outlays in the graphic at the top of this story for a result across the race.

For place punters Vosne Romanee looks the one to be on.

For exotic punters simply box up the top 4 elects as noted in the trifecta.

Zabeel Can Quinella The Sydney Cup

The 3rd G1 race set down for Randwick on Saturday is the 3200m Sydney Cup and as per a majority of 3200m feature staying races over the last 10 years or so in this country the high class staying influence Zabeel is likely to play a major hand.

His lightly raced 4yo daughter Jesicabeel is our clear top elect here after last start taking out the proven Sydney Cup lead up race in the form of the Chairman's Handicap at G2 level over 2600m 2 weeks ago. That day she closed off very strongly to win going away by 2l defeating a very good quality G2 field with the likes of No Wine No Song, Harris Tweed and Precedence left toiling in her wake. She hit the line strongly suggesting the step to 3200m here will totally suit. She gets in here superbly weighted again with only 52kg, she looks a "weighted certainty" on that basis. We have her assessed as a 3.25 chance and currently she is available at 8.40 on Betfair, very good overs.

The major danger and 2nd elect in our eyes is the NZ G1 winning son of Zabeel and proven stayer in the form of Zavite. He donkey licked his rivals in New Zealand 2 starts ago at G1 level over 3200m by 3.3l and then last start was very unlucky when 2nd to Littorio in the G1 BMW over 2400m at WFA. He sat 3 and 4 deep with no cover the entire trip that day and loomed up at the top of the stretch and battled on strong never shirking his task, the big query here for him is how much that effort has taken out of him. He has an iron constitution so we think he will back up well here after the 21 day break. We tipped him last start as the top elect in that race at 50/1 and were unlucky not to get the cash for Advantage Ratings users. We have him assessed as a 4.87 chance in this race and is currently available at 7.40 which is decent overs.

Harris Tweed is our clear 3rd elect in the race, this 4yo son of Montjeu has been very consistent this prep placing 3 of 4 starts at G1 & G2 level including a last start 3rd to Jesicabeel and it is hard to see him turning the tables on her here despite the minor turn around at the weights but weirder things have happened. We have him assessed as a 6.49 chance in this field and currently 11.00 is available on Betfair, at that price he warrants minor support.

The 4th elect for us is the enigmatic type Littorio who got back to career best form blowsing Zavite in the BMW but he may have been fluked and flattered by the trip he got that day. Despite that factor he hit the line strongly and looked good winning. We have him assessed as a 9.74 chance and currently 9.20 is available on the exchanges so he is slight unders for us.

For win punters we suggest following our staking advice on the top 3 elects as per the graphic to the top with the major earn to be made from either Jesicabeel or Zavite taking the prize.

For place punters the value is clearly Jesicabeel rated so far infront of her foes here. Infact for value you may wish to take an all up place ticket on Vosne Romanee into Jesicabeel considering the good value to be had about these 2 highly rated runners in this race and the race prior, it may be the bet of the day!

Exotic punters should simply box up the top 4 elects here in the trifecta.

Melito Set To Continue Her Rise Through The Ranks In The All Aged Stakes

The last of the G1 races on Saturday at Randwick is the All Aged Stakes over 1400m at WFA.

As per usual at this time of the season it is a lightly raced 3yo who looks likely to take another WFA event against the older horses.

Our clear top elect here is the well bred 3yo filly by Redoute's Choice in the form of Melito, last start she came of age winning the G1 TJ Smith Stakes over 1200m unleashing a withering burst from off the pace to blowse a good field including Hot Danish, Mic Mac and Wanted. She hit the line strongly 2nd up that day suggesting the step to 1400m is totally up her alley. She has further scope for improvement in this race and is every chance of hitting a new career peak. We have her assessed as a 3.79 chance and at 6.60 on Betfair currently offers up very good value.

Our 2nd elect here is the 6yo Mujahid (Danzig) gelding Danleigh who 2 starts ago unleashed big closing pars to knock off Dao Dao by 1.8l in the George Ryder but that was on a wet track and the depth of form out of that race is slightly questionable vs what Melito did last start, we have him assessed as a 5.68 chance in this race and at 4.40 on Betfair currently is realistically unders.

Another 3yo in the form of Demerit shapes as our equal 3rd elect here in the form of Demerit. This 3yo colt by Lonhro out of the former very good race mare Shame was one paced 1st up last start behind Hot Danish when 4th but has big scope for further improvement here being so lightly raced and 2nd up over a more suitable trip. Last prep he looked very good defeating Trusting 2nd up in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude at G3 level and on a repeat will figure here. We have him assessed at 7.10 in this race and at 17.00 on Betfair is very good overs. Warrants minor support.

Hot Danish is over-rated in our eyes by the betting public yet to win a G1 race and is equal 3rd elect here with Demerit but is unders at 4.20 on Betfair, steer clear.

The 5th rated runner for us is Mic Mac who 1st up last start finished 3rd to Melito in the TJ Smith but it is hard to see him turning the tables on Melito here the way she finished off over the top of him last start. We have him assessed at 11.36 and currently he is 4.00 on Betfair, big unders.

For win punters we suggest following our advised betting advice for Melito and Demerit as per the graphic to the top.

For place punters once again the value lies with the top elect in the form of Melito.

For exotic punters we suggest backing a combination of the 5 rated runners in the trifecta, taking the top 3 to win and all 5 of them boxed for 2nd and 3rd.

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