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03/21/2010

Curragh (IRE) 3.55 Sunday 21/03/2010 - G3 1m Park Express Stakes

A field of 9 greets us for this G3 contest and it does look likely that the two lightly raced 3yo filly from the O'Brien camp will dominate here. All the money early has been for the Danehill Dancer filly Devoted To You rightly so in most peoples view especially considering it has the vote of confidence with Murtagh on board.

It is the stable 2nd elect that does look the value commodity here but, Lady Lupus. Her last start win over this track and distance at the end of last season winning at Listed level has since been proven an above average form reference for Listed company. Atasari 2nd home that day got nosed out by Music Show next start at G2 level, Akdarena finished 3rd as it did behind Devoted To You when having its 2nd career start by a wider margin but it does look to have improved considerably between those runs, Berg Bahn and Crystal Gal 4th and 5th home also add good depth to the form.

With our Advantage Ratings we have Devoted To You at the top of the market at a price of 3.13, Lady Lupus is next at 5.00 and then the 3rd elect is Latin Love at 8.33, they look the only 3 real chances.

The best value in the race is Lady Lupus at the 14.50 on offer early on the exchanges, it may drift out slightly from there, also likely to be bet at 3.50+ for the place makes very good appeal as well.

Betting Advice - Lady Lupus (2 units win, 4 units place)